Discussing the past experiences and future anticipations in an interview with Aziz Rafiee

The Bonn Conference, scheduled for winter this year, brings together international partners to discuss the future of Afghanistan beyond 2014. The Afghan government will chair the conference, with pressing issues such as the capacity of the Afghan security forces, peace, and security high on the agenda.

However, there is uncertainty about how the Afghans and civil society will be represented in the conference. The Taliban, who may not participate due to their maintained positions and potential influence from regional intelligence, are a significant factor in this uncertainty.

The insurgency in Afghanistan has shown a quick adaptation to changes in military strategies, making the issue of security a complex and evolving one. To address this, a new strategy was developed in January 2010 to focus more on supporting and training Afghan security forces.

Despite the efforts, concerns remain about the capacity of the Afghan National Army and Afghan National Police to maintain peace and security after the withdrawal of international forces in 2014. The lack of a coordinated approach towards development plans in Afghanistan has hindered potential achievements, with better coordination especially in the areas of security, infrastructure development, and humanitarian aid necessary to avoid overlaps and use resources more efficiently.

International conferences have long been discussing rehabilitation in Afghanistan and the role of the international community. Quantitative figures for infrastructure, education, and media development in Afghanistan have significantly increased over the past decade. Aziz Rafiee asserts that Afghanistan has seen numerous achievements over the past decade, including increased awareness, education levels, infrastructure development, economic growth, and media freedom.

Yet, to sustain itself from 2014, Afghanistan needs to build up its capacity, empower its people, coordinate with development and democratic institution building, set up a functioning judiciary, and establish good governance. A more regional solution and economic partnership between regional countries might be the best solution to the irresolvable conflict in Afghanistan.

The neighboring countries, including Pakistan, India, and Iran, play a significant role in the development in Afghanistan. Concerns about future positions, access to resources, economic gains, and political and geographical security are prevalent.

The thematic areas to be discussed at the Bonn Conference include the transition, international commitment for Afghanistan beyond 2014, peace, reconciliation, and reintegration programs, and security. The outcome of the conference is expected to address these issues, but it is unclear whether civil society will be included in the development of the country or if their voices will be heard.

This article was taken by Caroline Bertram. The interview provides a glimpse into the complexities and uncertainties surrounding the Bonn Conference, offering a glimpse into the challenges and opportunities that lie ahead for Afghanistan.