Djokovic and Fritz US Open Quarterfinal Odds, Recommendations, and Forecasts

Novak Djokovic and Taylor Fritz will face off in the quarterfinals of the 2025 US Open on Tuesday. This will mark their second meeting in just over a year, with Djokovic holding a perfect 10-0 record against Fritz in their head-to-head matches.

In their last encounter, Djokovic emerged victorious. Fritz, however, is seeking to break this streak and make his mark on the tournament.

Djokovic has been in fine form, winning 45.5% of his tiebreaks in his last 42 matches, according to TennisAbstract. In the 2025 US Open, he has a 92.4% hold rate in service games and has dropped just two sets in his first four matches.

Fritz, on the other hand, has been impressive too. He has held 67 out of 71 games (94.4%) in the tournament and has won 7 out of his last 10 tiebreaks. However, he has never won a set against Djokovic in their head-to-head matches.

Fritz may find the mental aspect of facing Djokovic challenging, given his 0-10 record against him. This could potentially open up opportunities for Djokovic to capitalize.

The odds reflect this, with Djokovic being the third-favorite to win the US Open, while Fritz is the fourth-favorite. The Djokovic moneyline ranges from -190 to -180, with BetMGM offering the best price. Fritz's moneyline is as short as +140 and as long as +155.

The default game spread is Djokovic -3.5 at most books, but ESPN Bet has it at -2.5 (-125). The over 39.5 games (-120) is the favorite bet for the match at ESPN Bet. ESPN Bet is also the best over option in the total-games market, listing over 39.5 at -120. The best under option is 40.5 (-118) at FanDuel.

Fritz's inconsistency during the tournament could lead to opportunities for better live prices on Djokovic. He has faced 14 breakpoints in the tournament, which could indicate potential vulnerabilities in his service games.

However, Fritz has shown resilience in bouncing back from losses to lower-ranked players in several tournaments this season. This could make for an exciting and unpredictable match.

For those interested in understanding the conditions under which Fritz first defeated Djokovic at the 2025 US Open, reliable sources include official match reports and live tickers from sports news websites like Spiegel and Eurosport, detailed head-to-head statistics platforms such as aiscore.com, and tennis specialist sites like tennis.com that provide player rankings, match previews, and analyses of key points and match dynamics.

As the quarterfinals approach, both players will be eager to secure a spot in the semi-finals. With Djokovic's consistent form and Fritz's determination to break his streak, the match promises to be a thrilling encounter.