Senate budget negotiations encounter potential hurdle due to concerns over clean energy financing and budget deficits
The Senate is currently in the final stages of amending the "One Big Beautiful Bill Act," with a vote-a-rama process underway to finalize the bill before the July 4 deadline. After a 16-hour reading and subsequent hours of debate, this crucial step marks the penultimate phase before the bill heads to a vote.
Senate Majority Leader John Thune provided the assurances necessary for the group to vote to proceed, but the process has not been without controversy. The clean energy sector was blindsided by last-minute rewrites that accelerate the phase out of tax credits for wind and solar, potentially posing a serious risk for the industry.
Fossil fuel activist Alex Epstein has a list of proposals to reduce the cost of the bill, including cutting the 45X manufacturing credit by 25%, and reducing it by 10% a year. Epstein claims that such cuts could save "hundreds of billions of additional dollars."
The debate over how to bring the budget deficit down has been a contentious issue, with a group of fiscal hawks pushing for concessions for further deficit reductions before voting to proceed. The more punitive treatment of energy tax credits in the final draft saves only $15 billion, while a tweak that increases the cap on state and local tax deductions costs $143 billion more than the chamber's initial draft.
The clean energy industry is facing a bill that is more punitive than prior drafts, including a surprise excise tax on projects. Further scaling back IRA credits would likely require Republicans to cut in places where the bill adds spending on energy technologies, such as carbon capture, biofuels, and oil and gas exploration.
Preventing any of Epstein's proposals from becoming amendments should be a key focus for the clean energy sector in these final hours. The author of the proposals is not explicitly named in the available sources, but the amendments emerged in the final hours of the Senate amendment process, involving input from multiple Senators with varying positions.
Jason Clark, CEO of consulting and intelligence firm Power Brief, stated that many Republicans believe this bill will explode the national deficit. The largest outstanding concern for GOP senators is how much the bill adds to the budget deficit.
This amendment process could last anywhere from hours to days, as the Senate works to finalize the "One Big Beautiful Bill Act." The outcome of these negotiations will have significant implications for the clean energy sector and the nation's energy future.
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