World faces increased financial peril due to American insistence on less stringent climate regulations, according to experts' assertions.
The US's stance on climate-related financial disclosures has been a subject of controversy, with the Basel Committee's guidelines on the matter remaining voluntary due to pressure from the US. This has led to clashes at the Financial Stability Board, with the US Treasury's interim undersecretary's comments on climate being particularly contentious.
The reduced regulatory oversight in the US signals to banks that climate risk doesn't matter, leading to less funding, less data, and a reduced perception of climate risks. This has resulted in the US's influence on global climate negotiations waning during President Trump's second administration.
However, the US's withdrawal from climate agreements and its push for an anti-climate agenda is being increasingly rejected. Key US government officials, including figures in the White House and environmental agencies, have continued efforts to address climate risks during President Joe Biden's administration. The Biden administration has pursued ambitious climate goals such as suspending LNG export permits and investing in renewable infrastructure.
Meanwhile, the US federal government has sued some states for their climate rules, and the US's withdrawal from agreements like the Paris Agreement and the Network for Greening the Financial System increases ESG risks for insurers. The European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Authority has cited the US withdrawal from climate agreements as a potential increase in ESG risks for insurers.
On the other hand, Europe could face short-term constraints due to US political and regulatory uncertainty. The EU's proposed omnibus regulation could jeopardize its broader sustainability objectives. Absent global cooperation, the best course of action for Europe may not be to align with the least ambitious policies.
In the meantime, some large US banks are quietly preparing for climate change, while California's climate disclosure rule could impact many large US companies, with other states also considering passing similar legislation. The insurance losses from natural disasters are expected to hit US$145bn in 2025, and banks backing out of net-zero commitments will create a feedback loop or a "climate-related doom loop", increasing physical risks and climate change.
In conclusion, the US's approach to climate policy has significant implications for the global financial landscape. While the US's withdrawal from climate agreements and reduced regulatory oversight may create challenges for Europe and insurers, the US could end up hurting the most from pulling away from transitioning to a net-zero economy.
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